Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.177714 0.212045 0.250637 0.297147 0.351589 0.413204 0.488131
2025-03-30 0.128709 0.173044 0.228500 0.302586 0.398549 0.518187 0.678122
2025-04-06 0.098392 0.144875 0.207902 0.298827 0.425711 0.595403 0.838212
2025-04-13 0.078506 0.124785 0.191909 0.295102 0.448159 0.664842 0.992300
2025-04-20 0.067510 0.114643 0.187082 0.304644 0.488232 0.760826 1.191930
2025-04-27 0.062581 0.112577 0.193372 0.330755 0.554949 0.901573 1.471168
2025-05-04 0.055993 0.106395 0.191803 0.343532 0.601511 1.015610 1.720567
2025-05-11 0.047809 0.095866 0.181169 0.339300 0.619042 1.084535 1.904210
2025-05-18 0.039864 0.084274 0.166763 0.326138 0.619087 1.123709 2.041447
2025-05-25 0.033004 0.073477 0.152049 0.310059 0.611407 1.147969 2.154293
2025-06-01 0.029833 0.069513 0.149591 0.316357 0.644743 1.246401 2.405074
2025-06-08 0.025373 0.062017 0.139019 0.305307 0.643754 1.282349 2.545957
2025-06-15 0.023036 0.058964 0.137462 0.312975 0.681622 1.396862 2.848843
2025-06-22 0.020723 0.055572 0.134742 0.318006 0.715157 1.507231 3.156278
2025-06-29 0.018077 0.050841 0.128297 0.314011 0.729368 1.581000 3.399387
2025-07-06 0.015823 0.046625 0.122320 0.310104 0.743066 1.654709 3.648840
2025-07-13 0.014672 0.045071 0.122396 0.320096 0.788299 1.797402 4.051854
2025-07-20 0.014535 0.046268 0.129392 0.347435 0.875651 2.036705 4.677118
2025-07-27 0.013676 0.045248 0.130618 0.360809 0.932168 2.214707 5.187131
2025-08-03 0.012115 0.041835 0.125062 0.356380 0.946016 2.300266 5.504201
2025-08-10 0.010387 0.037527 0.116380 0.342601 0.935452 2.329866 5.699892
2025-08-17 0.008792 0.033265 0.107082 0.325767 0.915103 2.334757 5.839769
2025-08-24 0.008159 0.032057 0.106377 0.332361 0.955278 2.484971 6.326941